DISTRIBUIÇÃO DE UMA BOMBUS NATIVA DA AMÉRICA DO SUL COM PROJEÇÃO FUTURA ÀS MUDANÇAS CLIMÁTICAS

Abstract

Climate change interferes over with the biodiversity of different global ecosystems, resulting in profound ecological impacts that threater put complex networks of biological interactions at risk, considered responsible for maintaining biodiversity. There are many gaps about the knowledge biological aspects of species and for there to be an effective conservation of them, considering the climate change scenario, it's needed to face these deficits. Despite the worrying scenario, some technological adventures, as Species Distribution Models (SDM) can help overcome these knowledge deficiencies. In this work, we evaluate the effects of future climate change on the distribution of the species Bombus (Funebribombus) funebris Smith, 1854 (Apidae, Bombini) in South America. We consider ten modeling methods in our procedures and the chosen evaluation metric was the Jaccard similarity index. Our SDM results show that western South America will still be suitable for B. funebris in the future, however the size of the distribution protected by conservation units will regress in the future scenario. Anthropic actions, together with climate change, can damage the existence and prevalence of species, posing serious risks to insect biodiversity in the coming years. The growing implementation of tools like the ones used here is an important way to minimize information deficits related to insect species. In a world that is constantly being affected by human actions, it is extremely important to make efforts for the knowledge and conservation of species.